Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.010968 0.013139 0.015815 0.019425 0.024274 0.030733 0.040298
2025-08-03 0.008269 0.010752 0.014204 0.019584 0.028226 0.042563 0.070865
2025-08-10 0.006651 0.009075 0.012703 0.018909 0.030198 0.052373 0.108772
2025-08-17 0.005502 0.007748 0.011278 0.017722 0.030568 0.059401 0.151360
2025-08-24 0.004720 0.006811 0.010229 0.016803 0.030962 0.066801 0.210386
2025-08-31 0.004322 0.006405 0.009956 0.017207 0.034316 0.084694 0.365380
2025-09-07 0.003879 0.005853 0.009317 0.016693 0.035291 0.096908 0.560416
2025-09-14 0.003489 0.005337 0.008655 0.015957 0.035393 0.106647 0.829223
2025-09-21 0.003243 0.005042 0.008357 0.015945 0.037541 0.127884 1.591198
2025-09-28 0.003110 0.004930 0.008392 0.016715 0.042520 0.172165 5.291969
2025-10-05 0.003062 0.004964 0.008723 0.018314 0.051481 0.267586 120.384873
2025-10-12 0.002950 0.004862 0.008750 0.019136 0.058367 0.382253 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002766 0.004624 0.008491 0.019231 0.063119 0.522013 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002603 0.004409 0.008257 0.019372 0.068639 0.748007 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002411 0.004117 0.007803 0.018706 0.069581 0.922718 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002213 0.003794 0.007234 0.017536 0.066917 0.991253 NaN
2025-11-16 0.002050 0.003530 0.006776 0.016630 0.065314 1.104244 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001972 0.003435 0.006713 0.017029 0.072417 1.848784 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001856 0.003252 0.006409 0.016522 0.073114 2.370076 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001741 0.003061 0.006065 0.015796 0.071742 2.757731 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001668 0.002956 0.005925 0.015785 0.075995 4.514031 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001634 0.002930 0.005985 0.016544 0.087945 14.102596 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001630 0.002971 0.006227 0.018119 0.111569 460.101848 NaN